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Maverik D1 Report: May 13

Time to take a look at next week’s quarterfinal games. With teams right on the brink of the Final Four and a chance to play in front of more than 50,00 fans, the stakes are ever so high. Here are my predictions along with players who will be “X” factors (outside of goalies and faceoff players, which is the case every week):

#1 Duke vs. Unranked Ohio State

Expect this game to be much closer than what most people think. Ohio State is playing with house money and has nothing to loose. They possess one of the best attack-midfield combinations in college lacrosse in Kevin Buchanan and Joel Dalgarno. Buchanan has 70 points as a middie…. incredible numbers. It’s well documented what Duke has on offense, so no need to go there. Stefan Schroder (Ohio State) needs to have more than 18 saves for the Buckeyes to win.

Prediction: Duke 12-9

X Factors: With Ned Crotty attracting the pole on the Duke midfield, Steve Schoeffel and Brad Ross need to initiate offense. Schoffel has been a nice surprise this season, netting three goals against Loyola on Saturday. Joe Breschi (OSU Coach) will do everything in his power to stop Danowski, Greer, and Quinzani. The Duke midfield needs to be heard from. Ohio State will need production out of its third and fourth scorers, juniors Jeff Ryan and Peet Poillon. Poillon had a big day against Cornell in the opening round, netting the hat trick. Expect Nick O’Hara to match-up on Buchanan and McDevitt on Dalgarno, which would force secondary scorers to pick up the slack.

#2 Virginia vs. #7 Maryland

These teams split during the regular season and know each other very well. The Terps played their best game of the season when they beat UVA in March. Maryland has the advantage in the cage with Phipps and Carter. Virginia is deeper at the offensive midfield; however, Maryland possesses possibly the best defensive midfield unit in the nation, anchored by Brian Farrell and Bryn Holmes. This could very well be the best game of the weekend.

Prediction: Maryland 11-10

X Factors: Entire Terp attack. If Maryland can get strong play from its freshman trio, the Terps will be in good shape. Outside of Ken Clausen, the UVA defense has struggled at times this season. He can only guard one player. For UVA, Garrett Billings had a short-stick on him during the prior meeting and made Maryland pay, scoring four goals. Similar production is needed from Virginia’s third option on attack.

#3 Syracuse vs., #6 Notre Dame

Notre Dame barely escaped the first round, but in their defense, they were playing one of the hottest teams in the nation in Colgate. Notre Dame will need to play their best game of the season to defeat the Orange, who will have the crowd advantage as the game will be played in Ithaca (about an hour drive south from Syracuse). Notre Dame has not played a team that possesses six scorers on the field at the same time. Mike Leveille’s play making ability, and Steven Brooks stretching the defense with his outside shot will be too much for the Fighting Irish defense to handle. This game features two of the best faceoff specialists in the nation. Notre Dame’s Taylor Glagett destroyed Colgate’s Chris Eck on Sunday, which is no small feat. Danny Brennan has played at a similar level this season and holds the keys to an Orange run at the title.

Prediction: SU 13-8

X Factors: SU’s Pat Perritt has the potential to be one of the top midfield dodgers in college lacrosse. His 2008 numbers are lower than everyone has expected (nine goals, two assists). The playoffs give players an opportunity for another season, a more important one. Expect Perritt to come up big for the Orange this May, starting with Notre Dame. Notre Dame’s Sean Dougherty will most likely have the assignment of guarding Mike Leveille. When Leveille puts up big numbers, it usually means the entire SU offense is clicking. Dougherty will have to take the Orange QB out of the mix.

#4 Johns Hopkins vs. Navy

This game will be played at Navy, and a pro Midshipmen crowd of more than 20,000 would usually be a huge factor for any team to play in front of. The problem for the Mids is that John Hopkins has won 32 games in a row over Navy, many, including the 2008 contest, with crowds of more than 15,000 people at Navy Marine Corp Stadium. When Hopkins was 3-5 on the season, I predicted they would make a run and go to the Final Four. Navy had a tremendous win over North Carolina on Saturday, however, still struggled on offense, especially at the midfield. A few of their goals were off of UNC blown clears. For Navy to be in this game, they will need a strong first half, as they do not have the firepower to come back from large deficits. If anyone can keep the Blue Jay offense in check, it is Coach Richie Meade of Navy. He consistently has his squad playing incredible six-on-six defense. In the last meeting, JHU’s Stephen Peyser was brilliant on faceoffs, with many of his draws creating instant offense.

Prediction: Hopkins 9-6

X Factors: Stephen Boyle (JHU) needs to emerge as a scorer in the tournament after a season in which he has put up below average numbers (13 goals and 14 assists). He needs to take the heat off of, Peyser, Paul Rabil, and Kevin Huntley. Attack production will make the Jays very difficult to defend, and will allow crease attackman Mike Donegar to have opportunities. Navy’s first midfield of Patrick Moran, Basil Daratsos, and Joe Lennon need to produce. Nick Marabito and Tim Paul from Navy are always steady attackmen. Four to six goals need to come from Navy’s midfield.

**Note to teams. If your team is winning with less than two minutes to go in the game, do not shoot under any circumstances. Even going up by two goals puts the ball back into play off of the faceoff. Do whatever is in your power to kill the clock. It has cost two teams a trip to the Final Four in the last 11 years (Hopkins ’97 and Maryland ’04).

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why so close
by (#117375) on 5/13/08 @1:39PM
 only close game i see is Maryland vs uva and that will only be close if one come out flat. if either team catches on fire the other will be blown out.
 
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his english is great
by (#140423) on 5/14/08 @7:42PM
 i love the metaphor
 
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(no subject)
by (#198451) on 5/13/08 @2:50PM
 I'm just surprised that Ned Crotty "attracts the pole."
 
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The next round
by (#195810) on 5/13/08 @6:33PM
 There are several things that I agree with...I do think Maryland will beat UVA, Duke will beat Ohio State (by 10 goals), Hopkins will advance as well. I disagree with the Syracuse game. I believe Notre Dame will be victorious. Secondly...Pat Perrot is no x-factor. In myopinion hes the type of player who cares more about being a hot-shot (even though his numbers this year are pathetic) and getting in run-ins with the law. Why dont we pay due to Cuse players who are more professional like Leville, Nims or Abbott, rather then perrot who "was" a potential all-american. Oh and 2 of those 9 goals he had this year were against loyola who pulled thier goalie at the end of the game...I saw the game, perrot is a "stats builder" even though his stats are quite low
...I personally hate 'Cuse too so im rooting for Notre Dame
 
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p2
by (#140423) on 5/13/08 @8:20PM
 p2 is an incredible dodger from up top, doesn't play that much, does get in trouble w/ the law but whats that have to do wit lax, seriously. 9, 2 is pathetic but how bout all the defensive things he does that doesn't get a stat for. know what your talkin about b4 your chirpin him on here. biggest x-factor in the game is danny brennan's status whether he is able to perform at the x sunday
 
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Weird....
by (#71746) on 5/13/08 @9:45PM
 I can't believe Paul Carcaterra picked SU to win buy 5...O wait i can...You shouldn't even be able to write about Syracuse...Conflict of interest..Funny how thats the first thing you learn in any journalism class...
 
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What Journalism School did you learn that???
by (#186272) on 5/15/08 @11:01AM
 So Troy Aiken can not comment on the Cowboys when he does NFL games and Phil Simms cant mention the NY Giants??
 
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ORANGE TAKES FIGHT OUT OF IRISH, 16-9!
by (#198614) on 5/15/08 @6:50AM
 A PEAK INTO MY CRYSTAL BALL REVEALED THIS HEADLINE, COMING YOUR WAY MONDAY MORNING! JUST THOUGHT I'D SHARE IT WITH YOU, ADIDUR010! A HEALTHY DANNY BRENNAN WILL TEACH CLAGETT A THING OR TWO AND GOALIE KEMP WON'T LAST LONG WHEN THE BARRAGE BEGINS!
P.S.IF NOTRE DAME HAD MORE PLAYERS LIKE PAT PERRIT,THEY MIGHT STAND A CHANCE VS. SYRACUSE SUNDAY!!! GO BIG ORANGE!!!
 
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Crotty Can Play
by (#167651) on 5/14/08 @9:11PM
 I'm not surprised Crotty would attract a pole. He's been a consistent threat lately on offense and, in my opinion, is probably the best middie on Duke. If OSU really wants to shut down Duke's attack AND midfield, Crotty is a good place to start.
 
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COTTLE WILL BE THE UNDERDOG
by (#136419) on 5/13/08 @7:15PM
 Even though Maryland beat UVA once, UVA will be the favorite for many people. And, as the underdog, Cottle often does his very best.
 
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Has Time Gone By Bill Tierney?
by (#136419) on 5/13/08 @10:50PM
 I know that Princeton season is long over, but I felt this was the only place I could ask this question. I have been saying that the reason Princeton has not been dominant like they once were is because the admissions has cracked down and they can't get the players they once got. That said, they are still getting some great players and should be beating a lot of the teams they are losing to. I talked to a former Princeton player, and he thinks that Tierney's style worked well for so long, but since the game has changed, time has gone by him a bit. In fact, I can give two good similar examples involving great College Basketball coaches. That is:

John Thompson and Denny Crum. They were great coaches and had Hall Of Fame careers, but, as time went on, they didn't do quite as well. It seemed like, as soon as the three-point line came about for the 1986-1987 season, neither coach did quite as well. John Thompson went to 3 NCAA Title Games in the 80's, winning won and losing the other two by a total of 3 points. Throughout the 70's and 80's, Denny Crum went to 6 Final Fours and won 2 NCAA Titles. However, after the three-point line came about, neither coach returned to the Final Four again. Maybe the three-point line didn't work for the style that was so successful for them. IMHO, both of those coaches might have stayed too long.

I have said that the style of game that Princeton was famous for during their glory days-smothering defense and methodical, ball-control offense-worked great for years, but since the game has changed so much, it doesn't work as well this day and age. I have also said that, if Tierney runs and guns it more, things would be better. But now, I am starting to wonder if Tierney and a different coaching style and type of offense may not click.

Now, I think Tierney should coach for at least a couple more seasons and see what happens. However, if they get the same results, IMHO, he should retire.
 
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Landscape
by (#127752) on 5/14/08 @2:59PM
 Nice piece you wrote. I don't know if Princeton has cracked down on admissions or not, but the change in the recruiting landscape is likely the culprit in the Tiger's absence from the F4 in recent years. There are simply more suitors out there in DI recruiting the same kids - you can only slice the pie so many ways.

As you stated, the game has changed since Tierney started winning championships on a regular basis. Even competition for qualified players within the Ivy League itself is probably tighter now than it was 10 - 12 years ago.
 
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If A Team Is Up By One With Less ThanTwo Left
by (#136419) on 5/13/08 @11:35PM
 I totally agree with the original poster who said that, if you are up by one with less than two minutes to play, do everything you can to kill the clock. Doing anything else is taking chances. Because, as the poster said, if a team increases the lead to two, the other team could get the ball right back at midfield after winning a faceoff. Or, a team could shoot and not have a player backing up the goal. Or, a team could shoot and it gets blocked, hits the pipe, or the goalie saves it. Or, a player could lose the ball trying to drive into heavy traffic. I remember those instances that he mentioned.

Duke beat Hopkins in the Quarterfinals in 1997 in OT after Hopkins failed to try and kill the clock.

Princeton beat Maryland in the Quarterfinals in 2004 in OT after Maryland failed to try and kill the clock.


The best teams ever when it came to killing the clock were those Princeton teams of the 90's and early 2000's. Princeton almost always ran a methodical offense. However, whenever they had a small lead with two minutes or less left, they would run a methodical stall offense beautiful. They seemed so relaxed and made it look so easy. They either ran out the clock or killed loads of time so that the other team didn't have much of a chance to tie.

In fact, the best single example ever of a team killing the clock with about two minutes left was Princeton, when they played Duke in the 1997 Semifinals. Princeton made an incredible comeback late in the game, and they took an 8-7 lead. Then, when they got the ball back with about two minutes left, they just stalled and ran out the clock. People thought it was boring, but, hey, it worked!


 
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